Published
02/05/2026, 12:47Global GDP will continue to grow at a moderate pace in 2026, according to EDB experts. The global economy is gradually adapting to new trade barriers, but the pace of recovery remains different in developed and developing countries.
In developed economies, GDP growth will remain weak due to high uncertainty and debt burdens that are holding back investment. At the same time, the development of IT infrastructure continues to support economic activity. Large emerging markets are maintaining higher growth rates through industrialisation and infrastructure investment.
According to analysts, the US economy is expected to grow by 1.6%. Growth will be held back by tariff increases, high public debt and tighter immigration laws, while tax incentives and supply chain restructuring will provide support.
GDP growth in the eurozone is expected to be 1.1% amid declining external demand and continuing uncertainty.
China's economy will grow by 4.6% thanks to measures to stimulate domestic demand.
Inflation in the US and the Eurozone will exceed targets due to rising producer costs associated with tariff conflicts and the need to reorganise supply chains.
Experts note that moderate global economic growth in the coming years will be supported by domestic stimuli and the gradual adaptation of markets to external constraints.
